Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
We said: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain
Fixtures with Montpellier have often been a walk in the park for PSG, but Galtier's side are enduring the true definition of a sticky patch, and the fervent Paillade faithful will be in a buoyant mood after their team's successful weekend exploits.
A rejuvenated Mavididi also spells danger for a Verratti and Neymar-less PSG, but Galtier will be demanding an immediate response from his players and should get one against a leaky Montpellier side, although it may not be pretty.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 82.85% . A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 6.38% .
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.58% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-3 (8.07%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.71%) , while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (1.98%) . The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result Montpellier HSC Draw Paris Saint-Germain 6.38% ( -0) 10.76% ( 0) 82.85% ( -0)
Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.02)
76.93% ( -0.02) 23.07% ( 0.01)
57.65% ( -0.02) 42.35% ( 0.02)
56.96% ( -0.02) 43.04% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 20.67% ( -0.01) 79.33% ( 0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
95.95% ( -0.01) 4.04% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 82.98% ( -0.01) 17.01% ( 0.01)
Montpellier HSC 6.38%
Paris Saint-Germain 82.85%
Draw 10.76%
Montpellier HSC Draw Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 6.38% 1-1 @ 4.71% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.18% 0-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 10.76% 0-3 @ 9.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 8.07% 0-4 @ 7.68% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 6.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0) 0-5 @ 4.93% 1-5 @ 4.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-6 @ 2.64% 1-6 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.75% ( -0) 0-7 @ 1.21% ( -0) 1-7 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-6 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.98% Total : 82.85%
How you voted: Montpellier vs PSG
Montpellier HSC
Draw
Paris Saint-Germain
147
rhs 2.0
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