Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Municipal du Ray

Nice
6 - 1
Montpellier

Pepe (15', 56'), Thuram (35'), Delort (75'), Barkley (82', 85')
Pepe (63')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Savanier (80')
Khazri (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Nice
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Marseille
Monday, January 2 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Nice 0-1 Montpellier HSC

Nice have been out of sorts recently, and they have a very poor record at home, picking up just nine points in their opening eight matches at the Allianz Riviera. Montpellier have also struggled, but they managed to win their last away match in Ligue 1, so we think that they could make it two on the spin on Wednesday in a closely-contested game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Montpellier HSC
50.06% ( 0)	24.35% ( -0)	25.6% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.47% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.5% (

-0)

47.5% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.29%

69.71%

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.99% (

-0)

19.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.43% (

50.57%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26% (

-0)

32.74% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.7% (

-0)

69.3% (

Score Analysis

Nice 50.05%

Montpellier HSC 25.6%

Draw 24.34%

Nice	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.05%	1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 6.22% 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.34%	0-1 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.6%