Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 29, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
0 - 2
Montpellier

Le Fee (7'), Kalulu (50'), Innocent (59')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Savanier (3'), Wahi (22')
Leroy (28'), Sacko (43'), Omlin (57'), Savanier (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Lorient
Sunday, November 13 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Reims
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lorient 1-0 Montpellier HSC

Despite their recent form against Lorient, Montpellier have hardly been convincing this season, and Les Merlus will face a side who have been shaky along the backline throughout most of the domestic campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Montpellier HSC
48.81% ( -0.49)	25.74% ( 0.14)	25.45% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 50.02% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.71% (

-0.29)

53.28% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.16% (

-0.25)

74.84% (

0.25)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.15% (

-0.33)

21.85% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.92% (

-0.51)

55.08% (

0.51)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.01% (

0.14)

35.99% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.23% (

0.15)

72.77% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Lorient 48.81%

Montpellier HSC 25.45%

Draw 25.74%

Lorient	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.81%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.45%