Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13

Oct 30, 2022 at 4.05pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
1 - 2
Nice

Ouattara (18')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Atal (61'), Laborde (69')
Lemina (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 2-1 Partizan
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both sides have made themselves difficult to beat in recent weeks, but Lorient will be regarded as favourites for Sunday's encounter considering their bright start to the campaign and position in the table. The hosts have impressed going forward of late, netting at least twice in six of their last seven matches, and they should have few problems in front of goal against Nice, who have kept just one clean sheet all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Nice
33.53% ( -0.06)	27.86% ( 0.01)	38.61% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.1% (

-0.05)

57.9% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.39% (

-0.04)

78.61% (

0.04)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.7% (

-0.07)

32.3% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2% (

-0.07)

68.8% (

0.07)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

29.1% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.97% (

65.02% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Lorient 33.53%

Nice 38.61%

Draw 27.86%

Lorient	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.53%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 38.61%