Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Nov 11, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
1 - 1
Nice

Lacazette (89' pen.)
Tagliafico (35')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pepe (38' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Lyon
Sunday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 1-0 Brest
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice may be in better form at the moment, however, only two of their last six league matches have been against teams in the top half of the table (Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient). On the opposite side, Lyon have kept their matches close of late, with their last eight fixtures being decided by a goal or fewer, and we believe the quality of Lacazette and Dembele will be enough to earn them three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Nice
60.26% ( -0.11)	21.33% ( 0.05)	18.41% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 54.42% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.22% (

-0.12)

42.77% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.82% (

-0.12)

65.18% (

0.12)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.22% (

-0.07)

13.77% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.92% (

-0.15)

41.08% (

0.15)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.11% (

-0)

36.88% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.33% (

-0)

73.67% (

Score Analysis

Lyon 60.26%

Nice 18.41%

Draw 21.32%

Lyon	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 60.26%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.32%	0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.41%