Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 28, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
0 - 2
Lille

Gastien (5'), Seidu (33'), Caufriez (45+2')
Caufriez (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomes (68' pen.), Bayo (90+4')
Andre (31'), Cabella (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Clermont
Saturday, November 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Angers
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

The Clermont backline have often looked a little unhinged when under pressure, and they can expect to face their share of that against an aggressive unit in Lille who have some quality in the attacking third and can make their scoring chances count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Lille
19.92% ( 0.01)	22.83% ( 0.01)	57.26% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.15% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.9% (

-0.01)

47.1% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.67% (

-0.01)

69.33% (

0.01)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.22% (

0.01)

37.77% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.45% (

0.01)

74.55% (

-0.01)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.8% (

-0.01)

16.2% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.31% (

-0.01)

45.69% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Clermont 19.92%

Lille 57.24%

Draw 22.82%

Clermont	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 5.96% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 19.92%	1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.82%	0-1 @ 11.13% 0-2 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-3 @ 6.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.92% 0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 57.24%