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Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Rennes

Lille
1 - 1
Rennes

Fonte (16')
Djalo (54'), Bamba (57'), Diakite (74'), Balepa (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bourigeaud (58' pen.)
Wooh (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Lille
Sunday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Rennes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Larnaca
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lille 1-1 Rennes

 Taking advantage of Lille's depleted left-hand side should be the first port of call for Rennes this weekend, and Genesio will be desperate to see a reaction from his rotated side after their Europa League setback. The visitors' ongoing defensive issues on the road spells success for Lille's main man David, and the hosts will be the much fresher of the two sides, so we can only envisage this one ending all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LilleDrawRennes
36.81% (0.188 0.19) 24.91% (-0.217 -0.22) 38.28% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.07% (0.797 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (1.024 1.02)45.25% (-1.02 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41% (0.973 0.97)67.59% (-0.96900000000001 -0.97)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.574 0.57)24.18% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (0.806 0.81)58.51% (-0.802 -0.8)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (0.479 0.48)23.4% (-0.475 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.61% (0.687 0.69)57.39% (-0.684 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Lille 36.81%
    Rennes 38.28%
    Draw 24.91%
LilleDrawRennes
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.105 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.245 -0.25)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.047 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 38.28%

How you voted: Lille vs Rennes

Lille
38.3%
Draw
29.6%
Rennes
32.2%
115
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 8pm
Lille
2-2
Rennes
Weah (11', 88')
Andre (25'), Sanches (57')
Bourigeaud (41'), Guirassy (90+2')
Truffert (43'), Omari (54')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Rennes
1-2
Lille
Bourigeaud (85')
Martin (65'), Genesio (81'), Genesio (82'), Meling (90+1')
Xeka (31'), Sanches (45')
Mandava (89')
Jan 24, 2021 4pm
Rennes
0-1
Lille

N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi (22'), Grenier (40')
David (16')
Celik (34'), Andre (90+1')
Aug 22, 2020 8pm
Lille
1-1
Rennes
Bamba (40')
Mandava (43')
Da Silva (74')
Tait (88')
Boey (35')
Feb 4, 2020 6pm
Lille
1-0
Rennes
Remy (4')
Ikone (44'), Remy (56'), Sanches (83')

Traore (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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