Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Lorient |
48.41% ( -1.4) | 26.66% ( 0.04) | 24.93% ( 1.36) |
Both teams to score 46.94% ( 1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.94% ( 0.84) | 57.06% ( -0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.05% ( 0.67) | 77.95% ( -0.67) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.37% ( -0.28) | 23.63% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.28% ( -0.4) | 57.72% ( 0.4) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.47% ( 1.73) | 38.53% ( -1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.72% ( 1.61) | 75.28% ( -1.62) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 13.13% ( -0.54) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 48.41% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.55% Total : 24.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |