Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Nantes |
53.44% | 26.27% | 20.29% |
Both teams to score 42.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.41% | 59.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.07% | 79.93% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% | 22.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.98% | 56.02% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.4% | 44.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.39% | 80.62% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 14.96% 2-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 4.49% 4-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.68% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.09% 1-2 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |