Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Mar 11, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
0 - 0
St Etienne

Botman (65')

Moukoudi (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Nantes	38	7	55
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48

Saint-Etienne

Last Six:

Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Clermont	38	-31	36
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31

We said: Lille 1-1 Saint-Etienne

As mentioned, both sides are in good form, and whilst the odds may favour the reigning champions with home advantage and a better recent record in this fixture, Dupraz's side have proven very difficult to beat. We can see them grabbing an away point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Saint-Etienne
58.53%	23.48%	17.98%

Both teams to score 46.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.59%

52.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.91%

74.09%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35%

17.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.74%

48.25%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.95%

43.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.66%

79.33%

Score Analysis

Lille 58.52%

Saint-Etienne 17.98%

Draw 23.48%

Lille	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 13.17% 2-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 5.57% 4-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.47% Total : 58.52%	1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.48%	0-1 @ 6.4% 1-2 @ 4.68% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.98%