Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Feb 12, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
0 - 1
Lille

Ferri (46'), Savanier (83'), Germain (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Xeka (77')
Andre (18'), Gomes (22'), Celik (45'), Xeka (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Lille

Lille were humbled by the league leaders last weekend, and we believe that result could serve as motivation to get their act together, and when you combine that with the fact that three of their next four competitive fixtures will be away from home, where they have lost only once in their previous five domestic encounters, all signs point to a victory for this team. Montpellier are rarely shut out, but they have failed to maintain their composure at critical times, and that could hurt them as they try to contain one of the most dangerous attackers in Ligue 1 (Jonathan David). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lille
36.87%	25.29%	37.83%

Both teams to score 56.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53%

46.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76%

69.24%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.05%

24.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.41%

59.58%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.57%

24.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.14%

58.85%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 36.87%

Lille 37.83%

Draw 25.29%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 0.94% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.87%	1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 3.95% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.83%