Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Dec 22, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Chaban Delmas

Bordeaux
2 - 3
Lille

Elis (18', 45')
Fransergio (45+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Andre (33'), Yilmaz (77' pen.), David (84')
Yilmaz (36'), Sanches (37'), Djalo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Bordeaux and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Earlier this season, Bordeaux may have fancied their chances of beating a struggling Lille outfit, but with Les Dogues now enjoying a stronger run of form across all competitions, Wednesday's hosts are set to face a much tougher challenge. Lille might not secure another comfortable three-goal victory as they did last season, but they should have enough quality in their side to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Bordeaux	Draw	Lille
36.55%	25%	38.44%

Both teams to score 57.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.33%

45.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.01%

67.99%

Bordeaux Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49%

24.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.02%

58.97%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49%

23.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.46%

57.54%

Score Analysis

Bordeaux 36.55%

Lille 38.44%

Draw 24.99%

Bordeaux	Draw	Lille
2-1 @ 8.25% 1-0 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 0.98% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.9% Total : 36.55%	1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.99%	1-2 @ 8.49% 0-1 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.44%