Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Feb 25, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
2 - 4
Rennes

Oyongo (19'), Wahi (41')
Savanier (26'), Germain (74'), Oyongo (85')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Terrier (8'), Bourigeaud (15'), Laborde (52' pen.), Majer (84')
Traore (28'), Omari (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Rennes

Whilst Rennes' loss-win-loss-win-loss-win run of form implies that they are due another defeat this time out, we are backing them to break that sequence. They have the slightly better team on paper but Montpellier have home advantage and the momentum of their win at the weekend so we are banking on a 1-1 draw on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Rennes
27.04%	23.18%	49.78%

Both teams to score 59.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.87%

41.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.48%

63.52%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74%

28.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.02%

63.98%

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.31%

16.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.42%

46.57%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 27.04%

Rennes 49.78%

Draw 23.18%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Rennes
2-1 @ 6.74% 1-0 @ 5.96% 2-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.61% Total : 27.04%	1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.18%	1-2 @ 9.55% 0-1 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.56% 1-3 @ 5.7% 0-3 @ 4.51% 2-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.55% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.31% Total : 49.78%