Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Monaco |
18.39% ( -0.31) | 21.85% ( -0.09) | 59.76% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 52.63% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% ( -0.09) | 45.13% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.52% ( -0.09) | 67.48% ( 0.09) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.7% ( -0.4) | 38.3% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.94% ( -0.39) | 75.06% ( 0.39) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.29% ( 0.1) | 14.7% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.11% ( 0.19) | 42.89% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 18.39% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.85% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 10.34% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 6.61% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.35% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 59.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |