Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 11, 2023 at 6pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
0 - 0
Lyon

Traore (69'), Corchia (90+4')

Tete (54'), Lukeba (76'), Kumbedi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Auxerre
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 0-1 Clermont
Sunday, January 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Despite the difference in league positions, this feels like an evenly-matched encounter given Lyon's continued inconsistency. Nevertheless, we still feel that the visitors will do enough to come through this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Lyon
29.97% ( -0.02)	24.28% ( -0.01)	45.75% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.09% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.72% (

0.05)

44.28% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.34% (

0.05)

66.65% (

-0.05)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

0.01)

27.84% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.56% (

0.01)

63.44% (

-0.01)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.5% (

0.03)

19.5% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.63% (

0.06)

51.37% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Nantes 29.97%

Lyon 45.75%

Draw 24.27%

Nantes	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.97%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.27%	1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.75%