Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Toulouse |
56.16% ( 0.15) | 23.94% ( -0.01) | 19.9% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 48.73% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.36% ( -0.15) | 51.63% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.58% ( -0.13) | 73.42% ( 0.14) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.77% | 18.23% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.74% | 49.26% ( 0) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.59% ( -0.25) | 40.41% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.97% ( -0.23) | 77.02% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 56.15% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.26% Total : 19.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |