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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 2, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Troyes

Strasbourg
2 - 3
Troyes

Diallo (41'), Doukoure (54')
Doukoure (60')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ripart (16'), Lopes (20'), Chavalerin (78')
Larouci (61'), Balde (70'), Conte (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 2-1 Strasbourg
Wednesday, December 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 0-0 Nantes
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 1-0 Troyes

The absence of Balde severely limits Troyes' effectiveness in the final third, and their newfound defensive resilience under Kisnorbo may not count for much on rival territory, where they have shipped goals for fun this term. Both Strasbourg and Troyes have established a reputation as draw specialists recently, but having performed valiantly against PSG, Strasbourg can nick a crucial goal to post a long-awaited home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 22.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
StrasbourgDrawTroyes
51.59% (0.505 0.51) 25.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 22.71% (-0.512 -0.51)
Both teams to score 47.39% (-0.58 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.66% (-0.474 -0.47)55.34% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.45% (-0.39 -0.39)76.55% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (0.022000000000006 0.02)21.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (0.033000000000001 0.03)54.54% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.36% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)39.64% (0.756 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.68% (-0.708 -0.71)76.32% (0.70699999999999 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 51.58%
    Troyes 22.71%
    Draw 25.7%
StrasbourgDrawTroyes
1-0 @ 13.09% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.187 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.16% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 51.58%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.095 -0.09)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.71%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Troyes

Strasbourg
54.0%
Draw
36.0%
Troyes
10.0%
50
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 2pm
Troyes
1-1
Strasbourg
Tardieu (85' pen.)
Dingome (90+3')
Diallo (56' pen.)
Djiku (45'), Diarra (61')
Aug 22, 2021 2pm
Feb 11, 2018 2pm
Strasbourg
2-1
Troyes
Aholou (65'), Blayac (69')
Goncalves (37'), Martin (47')
Niane (90')
Bellugou (28'), Herelle (90')
Nov 4, 2017 7pm
Troyes
3-0
Strasbourg
Hyun-Jun (48'), Khaoui (55'), Niane (90')
Khaoui (23'), Confais (77'), Ben Saada (90')

Terrier (26')
da Costa (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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