Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
We said: Austin FC 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes
With talisman Driussi back in the starting XI, Austin are ready to climb the Western Conference and should be confident of defeating San Jose on Saturday night.
The Quakes are without two key men for the trip to Texas, and we feel that a weakened-visiting side will be unable to collect any points at Q2 Stadium.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 49.96% . A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6% .
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.7%) . The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%) . The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result Austin FC Draw San Jose Earthquakes 49.96% ( 0.49) 24.56% ( 0.01) 25.48% ( -0.5)
Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.49)
51.5% ( -0.42) 48.5% ( 0.42)
29.37% ( -0.38) 70.63% ( 0.39)
80.57% ( 0.04) 19.44% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.73% ( 0.06) 51.27% ( -0.05)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
66.63% ( -0.63) 33.38% ( 0.63)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30% ( -0.7) 70% ( 0.7)
Austin FC 49.96%
San Jose Earthquakes 25.48%
Draw 24.56%
Austin FC Draw San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 49.96% 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.56% 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.48%
How you voted: Austin vs Earthquakes
Austin FC
Draw
San Jose Earthquakes
5
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference
Western Conference
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