MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 03:40:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atlanta United
Austin FC
Montreal Impact
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
Nashville
New England Revolution
New York City
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas
St Louis City
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Austin
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Rubio (56'), Gallagher (58')
Wolff (34'), Biro (45+6'), Rubio (56'), Cascante (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gazdag (14' pen.), Uhre (65')
Sullivan (33'), Carranza (45+5'), Andres Martinez (62'), Elliott (70'), Gazdag (81'), Lowe (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Pachuca 6-0 Philadelphia
Wednesday, March 13 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Austin FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Clean sheets have been at a premium for both sides of late, and we expect neither of them to come away unbroken from this one. We are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
45.47% (-1.413 -1.41) 24.96% (0.643 0.64) 29.57% (0.776 0.78)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-1.637 -1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48% (-2.379 -2.38)47.52% (2.384 2.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (-2.241 -2.24)69.72% (2.245 2.25)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-1.566 -1.57)20.94% (1.572 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-2.514 -2.51)53.68% (2.519 2.52)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)29.74% (0.667 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (-0.812 -0.81)65.81% (0.816 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 45.47%
    Philadelphia Union 29.57%
    Draw 24.96%
Austin FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.494 0.49)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.224 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.47%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.39 0.39)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.597 0.6)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.596 0.6)
1-2 @ 7.16% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.283 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Austin vs Philadelphia

Austin FC
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Philadelphia Union
14.3%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes134182228-613
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14Portland TimbersPortland132472127-610


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!