Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
44.45% ( -0.23) | 24.75% ( 0.11) | 30.81% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.03% ( -0.42) | 45.97% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.72% ( -0.4) | 68.28% ( 0.4) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.25% ( -0.27) | 20.75% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.61% ( -0.43) | 53.39% ( 0.43) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.88% ( -0.13) | 28.13% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.2% ( -0.16) | 63.8% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 44.45% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |