Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Dallas |
61.72% ( 0.14) | 21.95% ( -0.06) | 16.33% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.27% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.13% ( 0.14) | 48.87% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.03% ( 0.13) | 70.96% ( -0.13) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.68% ( 0.09) | 15.32% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.94% ( 0.17) | 44.05% ( -0.17) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57% ( -0.01) | 43% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.71% ( -0.01) | 79.29% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Dallas |
1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 61.71% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.94% | 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 16.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |