Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orlando City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Orlando City.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | Nashville SC |
52.21% ( -0.16) | 24.36% ( 0.04) | 23.43% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 52.15% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.53% ( -0.05) | 49.47% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.49% ( -0.04) | 71.5% ( 0.04) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.08% ( -0.08) | 18.91% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.58% ( -0.13) | 50.41% ( 0.13) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.31% ( 0.08) | 35.68% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.54% ( 0.08) | 72.45% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Orlando City | Draw | Nashville SC |
1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.2% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 23.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |