Major League Soccer

May 30, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
0 - 0
Toronto

Bedoya (25')

Longstaff (87'), Spicer (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 3-4 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-2 Toronto

While the Union have been unusually poor at home this year, they will face a Toronto side yet to prove they can be consistently solid defensively, an area that Philly have improved upon in recent outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Toronto
60.32% ( -0.01)	21.15% ( 0)	18.52% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.23% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.19% (

-0.01)

41.8% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.79% (

-0.01)

64.2% (

0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.56% (

-0)

13.44% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.58% (

-0.01)

40.41% (

0.01)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.8% (

-0)

36.19% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.02%

72.98%

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 60.33%

Toronto 18.52%

Draw 21.15%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.23% Total : 60.33%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.15%	1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.52%