National League North | Gameweek 39
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Hereford3 - 3Alfreton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 Chorley
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-3 Alfreton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
61
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Alfreton Town |
38.9% ( 0.06) | 26.33% | 34.77% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.97% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.29% | 51.71% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.51% ( -0) | 73.49% ( 0) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( 0.03) | 26.01% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% ( 0.05) | 61.04% ( -0.05) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.59% ( -0.04) | 28.41% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.84% ( -0.05) | 64.16% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Hereford United 38.9%
Alfreton Town 34.77%
Draw 26.33%
Hereford United | Draw | Alfreton Town |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.9% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.77% |
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Hereford
0-0
Alfreton
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-16 19:21:12
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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