National League South | Gameweek 23
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground
Torquay Utd3 - 2Hemel Hemps.
Coverage of the National League South clash between Torquay United and Hemel Hempstead Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-0 Hemel Hemps.
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
53.07% ( 0.4) | 23.49% ( -0.08) | 23.44% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 54.91% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.18% ( -0) | 45.81% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.87% ( -0) | 68.13% ( -0) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.77% ( 0.14) | 17.22% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.48% ( 0.26) | 47.51% ( -0.26) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.34% ( -0.29) | 33.66% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.69% ( -0.31) | 70.31% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United 53.06%
Hemel Hempstead Town 23.44%
Draw 23.49%
Torquay United | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 53.06% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.49% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 23.44% |
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-05 17:40:35
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