Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 77.48%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Oxford City |
77.48% ( -0.33) | 13.27% ( 0.11) | 9.25% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.78% ( 0.24) | 25.22% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.8% ( 0.31) | 45.2% ( -0.31) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.73% ( -0) | 5.27% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.23% ( -0.01) | 20.77% ( 0.01) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.81% ( 0.63) | 38.19% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.04% ( 0.6) | 74.96% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Oxford City |
2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 6.06% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 3.57% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.75% 5-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.95% Total : 77.48% | 1-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 13.27% | 1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 9.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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