National League | Gameweek 23

Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Meadow Park

Boreham Wood
1 - 0
Southend

Brunt (74' pen.)
Marsh (63'), Sousa (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Husin (73'), Kensdale (73')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Boreham Wood and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boreham Wood

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Southend
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

We said: Boreham Wood 2-1 Southend United

Fresh off the back of ending their seven-game winless run in the league, Boreham Wood will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to get their promotion race back on track. The hosts take on a Southend United side who have suffered a drop-off in form and we predict that they will build on last week's victory over Oldham Athletic and secure a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boreham Wood in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boreham Wood.

Result
Boreham Wood	Draw	Southend United
49.58% ( 6.1)	25.9% ( -0.81)	24.52% ( -5.29)

Both teams to score 48.7% (

-1.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.41% (

-0.01)

54.59% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.07% (

-0.01)

75.93% (

0.01)

Boreham Wood Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95% (

2.86)

22.05% (

-2.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.61% (

4.14)

55.38% (

-4.14)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.47% (

-4.32)

37.52% (

4.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.69% (

-4.49)

74.3% (

4.49)

Score Analysis

Boreham Wood 49.57%

Southend United 24.52%

Draw 25.9%

Boreham Wood	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 12.5% ( 1.01) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 1.47) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.46) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 1.06) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.59) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.51) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.35) Other @ 3.06% Total : 49.57%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.9%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( -1.01) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.98) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -1.05) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.6) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.55) Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.52%