Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
43.02% ( -1.95) | 26.55% ( 0.46) | 30.43% ( 1.5) |
Both teams to score 50.95% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.31% ( -1.16) | 53.7% ( 1.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.82% ( -0.98) | 75.18% ( 0.98) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% ( -1.46) | 24.75% ( 1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.7% ( -2.09) | 59.31% ( 2.09) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.71% ( 0.5) | 32.29% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.21% ( 0.56) | 68.79% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.52% Total : 43.02% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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