National League | Gameweek 6

Aug 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
3 - 2
Hartlepool

Colclough (15'), Grimes (47'), Naylor (90+4')
Mandeville (45'), Jones (77'), Naylor (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Dieseruvwe (2'), Gomez Mancini (7')
Pruti (45'), Lacey (49'), Paterson (61'), Crawford (83'), Dixon (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Altrincham 2-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Fylde
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Hartlepool United
53.93% ( -0.62)	23.48% ( 0.37)	22.59% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 53.9% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.36% (

-1.31)

46.64% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.09% (

-1.24)

68.91% (

1.24)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.79% (

-0.7)

17.21% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.51% (

-1.24)

47.49% (

1.24)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.11% (

-0.5)

34.88% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.37% (

-0.53)

71.62% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 53.93%

Hartlepool United 22.59%

Draw 23.47%

Chesterfield	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.81% Total : 53.93%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.47%	0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 22.59%