Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Fylde |
35.22% ( -0.33) | 24.22% ( -0.12) | 40.55% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 60.38% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.83% ( 0.54) | 42.17% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.42% ( 0.53) | 64.57% ( -0.54) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% ( 0.07) | 23.63% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.27% ( 0.1) | 57.72% ( -0.11) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.07% ( 0.44) | 20.93% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.34% ( 0.69) | 53.66% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Fylde |
2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.22% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.76% Total : 40.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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