Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
37.58% ( 4.55) | 25.17% ( -0.87) | 37.25% ( -3.68) |
Both teams to score 57.17% ( 3.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.57% ( 4.39) | 46.43% ( -4.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.29% ( 4) | 68.71% ( -3.99) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( 4.76) | 24.3% ( -4.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% ( 6.3) | 58.68% ( -6.3) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% ( 0.04) | 24.48% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.07% ( 0.06) | 58.93% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.73) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.8) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.57) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.57) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.42) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.3) Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.53) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -1.18) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.52) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -1.64) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -1.15) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.54) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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