Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Woking had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Woking win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Woking |
41.92% ( 6.03) | 24.96% ( -0.66) | 33.12% ( -5.37) |
Both teams to score 57.2% ( 1.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.92% ( 2.44) | 46.08% ( -2.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.62% ( 2.27) | 68.38% ( -2.27) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% ( 4.26) | 21.96% ( -4.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.75% ( 6.07) | 55.25% ( -6.07) |
Woking Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.3% ( -1.93) | 26.7% ( 1.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.05% ( -2.62) | 61.95% ( 2.62) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Woking |
2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.78) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.92) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.87) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.81) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.44) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.49) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.42) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.63) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.72) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -1.32) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -1.21) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.69) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.25) Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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