Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
36.75% ( -1.44) | 24.87% ( 0.5) | 38.38% ( 0.94) |
Both teams to score 58.2% ( -1.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.92% ( -2.4) | 45.08% ( 2.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.57% ( -2.35) | 67.43% ( 2.34) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.86% ( -1.84) | 24.14% ( 1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.55% ( -2.68) | 58.45% ( 2.68) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.72% ( -0.59) | 23.28% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.79% ( -0.87) | 57.21% ( 0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.75% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.68) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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