Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for York City had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
53.05% ( 0.27) | 23.82% ( 0.13) | 23.12% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.45% ( -0.98) | 47.55% ( 0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% ( -0.91) | 69.76% ( 0.91) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% ( -0.26) | 17.87% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.36% ( -0.45) | 48.64% ( 0.46) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.1% ( -0.9) | 34.9% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.36% ( -0.96) | 71.64% ( 0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.05% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.05% Total : 23.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
> National League Full Table |