Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Lerma (2'), Moore (80')
Smith (39'), Pearson (45+2'), Billing (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ings (23'), Ramsey (45+3'), Luiz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

Last Six:

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Real Sociedad
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0
3	Bournemouth	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	1	2	3
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0
3	Bournemouth	0	0	0

We said: Bournemouth 1-2 Aston Villa

Beaten just three times in 23 home games last season, albeit at Championship level, Bournemouth will be no pushovers at their own headquarters - but there is a gulf in quality between these two squads. Since returning to the top-flight themselves three years ago, Villa have built a setup worthy of the top half, and can use their superior firepower to take three points back to Birmingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Aston Villa
27.63% ( -0.73)	24.73% ( 0.34)	47.63% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 54.98% (

-1.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.34% (

-1.97)

47.66% (

1.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.14% (

-1.84)

69.86% (

1.85)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.77% (

-1.56)

31.23% (

1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43% (

-1.86)

67.57% (

1.86)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.94% (

-0.62)

20.06% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.71% (

-1.01)

52.29% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 27.63%

Aston Villa 47.63%

Draw 24.73%

Bournemouth	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.87% Total : 27.63%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.73%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.63%