Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Bournemouth |
43.83% ( -0.05) | 25.55% ( -0.01) | 30.62% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.18% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.45% ( 0.03) | 49.55% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.42% ( 0.03) | 71.58% ( -0.03) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.46% ( -0.01) | 22.54% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.88% ( -0.02) | 56.12% ( 0.02) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.95% ( 0.05) | 30.04% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.82% ( 0.06) | 66.17% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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