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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Brentford logo

Man City
1 - 2
Brentford

Foden (45+1')
Braut Haaland (37'), Cancelo (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Toney (16', 90+8')
Mbeumo (72'), Jensen (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Ivan Toney scores twice as Brentford stun Manchester City 2-1 at the Etihad Stadium, denying the champions the chance to move temporarily top of the Premier League table.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Brentford.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Brentford.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Brentford on Saturday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 84.53%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 5.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 4-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.55%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Manchester CityDrawBrentford
84.53% (-0.131 -0.13) 10.07% (0.074 0.07) 5.4% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.99% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.95% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)24.04% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.34% (-0.171 -0.17)43.66% (0.171 0.17)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.03% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)3.97% (0.0401 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.23% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)16.77% (0.131 0.13)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.09% (0.076999999999998 0.08)46.9% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.58% (0.056000000000001 0.06)82.42% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 84.53%
    Brentford 5.4%
    Draw 10.07%
Manchester CityDrawBrentford
3-0 @ 10.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.69% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 8.41% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.34% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 6.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.01% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
5-0 @ 5.43% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 4.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.01 0.01)
6-0 @ 2.92% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
6-1 @ 2.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
7-0 @ 1.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
7-1 @ 1.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 84.53%
1-1 @ 4.55% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.78% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 1.86% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 10.07%
1-2 @ 1.72% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 1.41% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 5.4%

How you voted: Man City vs Brentford

Manchester City
85.2%
Draw
6.0%
Brentford
8.8%
216
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 29, 2021 8.15pm
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