Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Brentford |
42.84% ( -0.16) | 26.86% ( -0.13) | 30.3% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 49.96% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.06% ( 0.61) | 54.94% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.78% ( 0.5) | 76.22% ( -0.5) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.6% ( 0.19) | 25.39% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.8% ( 0.26) | 60.2% ( -0.27) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.96% ( 0.53) | 33.03% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.37% ( 0.58) | 69.63% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Brentford |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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