Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 20

Jan 15, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
0 - 2
Arsenal

Romero (35'), Sessegnon (45+1'), Sarr (53'), Lenglet (72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lloris (14' og.), Odegaard (36')
Martinelli (70'), Magalhaes (90+1')

Arsenal fined £40,000 again, Richarlison escapes FA punishment

Arsenal are fined £40,000 for surrounding the referee against Oxford United, but Tottenham Hotspur's Richarlison escapes punishment for his clash with Aaron Ramsdale.

Jan 19, 19:38

Arsenal's Aaron Ramsdale pictured on on January 15, 2023

Man charged with assaulting Arsenal's Aaron Ramsdale in North London derby

A 35-year-old man is charged with assaulting Arsenal goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale, who was kicked in the back after Sunday's North London derby against Tottenham Hotspur.

Jan 17, 18:32

Antonio Conte in charge of Tottenham Hotspur in January 2023

Antonio Conte: 'Only Arsenal and Manchester City can compete for title'

Tottenham Hotspur manager Antonio Conte claims that only Arsenal and Manchester City can compete for the Premier League title after their North London derby defeat.

Jan 16, 08:46

Watch: Aaron Ramsdale kicked by Tottenham Hotspur fan in North London derby

Arsenal goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale is kicked by a Tottenham Hotspur fan after the Gunners' 2-0 victory in the North London derby.

Jan 15, 19:02

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-3 Arsenal
Monday, January 9 at 8pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Arsenal
32.12% ( -0.76)	26.07% ( -0.21)	41.81% ( 0.97)

Both teams to score 53.15% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.82% (

0.68)

51.18% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.97% (

0.59)

73.02% (

-0.59)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.15% (

-0.16)

29.84% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.07% (

-0.2)

65.93% (

0.2)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76% (

0.8)

24.24% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.41% (

1.12)

58.59% (

-1.13)

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 32.12%

Arsenal 41.81%

Draw 26.06%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.12%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.81%