FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
0 - 3
Arsenal

Brown (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Elneny (63'), Nketiah (70', 76')

Arsenal charged by FA over Oxford United penalty incident

Arsenal are charged with failing to ensure their players conducted themselves in an orderly fashion following their appeals for a penalty against Oxford United.

Jan 12, 15:27

Arsenal's Bukayo Saka in action with Oxford United's Marcus McGuane on January 9, 2023

Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta plays down Bukayo Saka injury concerns

Mikel Arteta plays down concerns regarding an injury sustained by Bukayo Saka during Arsenal's 3-0 victory at Oxford United in the FA Cup on Monday night.

Jan 10, 09:37

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Exeter
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arsenal

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Arsenal
24.36% ( 2.36)	22.97% ( 0.87)	52.67% ( -3.23)

Both teams to score 57.75% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.44% (

-1.32)

42.56% (

1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.03% (

-1.33)

64.97% (

1.33)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9% (

1.32)

31.1% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57% (

1.51)

67.43% (

-1.51)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.82% (

-1.55)

16.18% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.34% (

-2.9)

45.65% (

2.9)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 24.36%

Arsenal 52.67%

Draw 22.97%

Oxford United	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.47) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.81% Total : 24.36%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.97%	1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.4) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.55) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.34) 0-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.39) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.14) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.41% Total : 52.67%