Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.14%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.3%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Luton Town |
56.14% ( -0.05) | 20.74% ( 0.04) | 23.12% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 64.23% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.63% ( -0.17) | 33.36% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.86% ( -0.2) | 55.14% ( 0.19) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.05% ( -0.07) | 11.95% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.66% ( -0.15) | 37.33% ( 0.14) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.94% ( -0.09) | 27.05% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.58% ( -0.12) | 62.42% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Luton Town |
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 56.14% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.74% | 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 23.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |