Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 6

Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Molineux

Wolves
1 - 0
Southampton

Podence (45+1')
Castro (27'), Moutinho (76'), Neves (81'), Guedes (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diallo (45'), Bella-Kotchap (90+5')

Daniel Podence fires Wolverhampton Wanderers to first win of season

Daniel Podence scores the only goal of the game as Wolverhampton Wanderers pick up their first win of the new Premier League season at Southampton's expense.

Sep 3, 17:25

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Last Six:

Last Game: Bournemouth 0-0 Wolves
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Everton	5	-2	3
18	Wolverhampton Wanderers	5	-2	3
19	Aston Villa	5	-5	3

Southampton

Last Six:

Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Chelsea
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Fulham	5	1	8
9	Southampton	5	-2	7
10	Chelsea	5	-2	7

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 Southampton

With Wolves looking devoid of confidence in the final third, we cannot back them to take advantage of playing at Molineux at the weekend. Nevertheless, there is also a feeling that their luck must change at some point, leading us to predict a low-scoring share of the spoils against opponents who are growing in confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Southampton
47.16% ( -0.4)	25.19% ( -0.42)	27.65% ( 0.81)

Both teams to score 53.53% (

1.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.43% (

2.24)

49.57% (

-2.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.41% (

1.98)

71.59% (

-1.98)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96% (

0.75)

21.04% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.17% (

1.16)

53.83% (

-1.16)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.79% (

1.83)

32.21% (

-1.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.3% (

2.02)

68.71% (

-2.02)

Score Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 47.16%

Southampton 27.65%

Draw 25.18%

Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.74) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.16%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.65%