Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 25, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Braga
1 - 0
Porto

Horta (54')
Oliveira (33'), Silva (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pepe (76'), Galeno (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Benfica	33	47	71
4	Braga	32	20	62
5	Gil Vicente	33	10	51

Porto

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	34	64	91
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71

Porto have enjoyed a sensational domestic campaign this season and are now closing in on a record-breaking title triumph. Considering their contrasting form, and the gulf in quality between both teams, we are tipping the Dragoes to end their winless run at the Estadio Braga Municipal and come away with their first victory since 2019. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Braga had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Porto
24.76%	24.18%	51.06%

Both teams to score 54.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.52%

47.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.3%

69.69%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.57%

33.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.94%

70.05%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.39%

18.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.1%

49.9%

Score Analysis

Braga 24.76%

Porto 51.05%

Draw 24.17%

Braga	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 6.82% 2-1 @ 6.28% 2-0 @ 3.73% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.93% 3-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.35% Total : 24.76%	1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 6.22% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.17%	0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-2 @ 8.79% 1-3 @ 5.4% 0-3 @ 4.93% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 2.27% 0-4 @ 2.07% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.05%