Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

May 8, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
1 - 2
Chaves

Pablo (53')
Rodrigues (27'), Riccieli (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Riccieli (80' og.), Teixeira (89' pen.)
Guimaraes (22'), Euller (38'), Mendes (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 3-2 Famalicao
Thursday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, April 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Chaves will undeniably boast the fresher set of legs heading into Monday's game, but there is hardly anything to separate the two sides in the standings, and we expect that to be reflected in the scoreline. The visitors are a force to be reckoned with at the back, but their attacking performances often leave something to be desired, and a rejigged Famalicao side who have few problems making the net ripple can strike back to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Chaves
43.05% ( -0.68)	27.17% ( 0.38)	29.78% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 48.79% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.68% (

-1.31)

56.32% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.65% (

-1.07)

77.35% (

1.07)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.08% (

-0.94)

25.92% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.09% (

-1.29)

60.91% (

1.29)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.86% (

-0.46)

34.14% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.17% (

-0.5)

70.83% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 43.04%

Chaves 29.78%

Draw 27.16%

Famalicao	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.04%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.78%