Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | SC Farense |
42.84% ( -0.53) | 24.98% ( 0.02) | 32.18% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 56.79% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.53% ( 0.09) | 46.48% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.25% ( 0.08) | 68.75% ( -0.08) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.31% ( -0.2) | 21.7% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.15% ( -0.32) | 54.85% ( 0.32) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.52% ( 0.37) | 27.48% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.03% ( 0.48) | 62.97% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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