Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round

Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
0 - 1
Falkirk

Syla (50'), McGinty (90+3')
Syla (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Henderson (30')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Ayr United and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Arbroath 2-1 Ayr
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Falkirk

All competitions

Last Game: Edinburgh 0-2 Falkirk
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Falkirk in this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Falkirk
36.61% ( -3.47)	25.59% ( -0.01)	37.8% ( 3.49)

Both teams to score 55.67% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.67% (

0.32)

48.33% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.52% (

0.3)

70.48% (

-0.29)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29% (

-1.72)

25.71% (

1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.36% (

-2.39)

60.63% (

2.4)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94% (

2.16)

25.05% (

-2.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.27% (

2.9)

59.73% (

-2.9)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 36.61%

Falkirk 37.8%

Draw 25.59%

Ayr United	Draw	Falkirk
1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.57) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.71) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.48) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.61%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.64) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.44) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.45) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.22) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.8%