Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 21.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rubin Kazan in this match.

Result
Rubin Kazan	Draw	Fakel
52.34% ( -0.02)	25.8% ( -0.06)	21.86% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 46.12% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.51% (

0.3)

56.49% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.52% (

0.24)

77.49% (

-0.23)

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

0.11)

21.65% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.23% (

0.17)

54.78% (

-0.17)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.86% (

0.25)

41.14% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.32% (

0.23)

77.68% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Rubin Kazan 52.33%

Fakel 21.86%

Draw 25.8%

Rubin Kazan	Draw	Fakel
1-0 @ 13.62% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.33%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.86%