Russian Premier League | Gameweek 20

Mar 10, 2024 at 4pm UK

Otkrytiye Arena

Spartak Moscow
0 - 2
Fakel

Prutsev (16'), Martins Pereira (36'), Babic (45+4'), Moses (83'), Litvinov (89'), Sobolev (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Markov (37' pen.), Prutsev (66' og.)
Magal (14'), Kvekveskiri (18'), Appaev (26'), Cherov (62'), Belenov (90+2'), Bozhin (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Fakel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Zenit 0-0 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, March 2 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fakel

All competitions

Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 Fakel
Sunday, March 3 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 71.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 11.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Fakel
71.3% ( -3.29)	17.46% ( 1.59)	11.23% ( 1.7)

Both teams to score 49.05% (

0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.53% (

-2.38)

40.47% (

2.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.15% (

-2.49)

62.85% (

2.49)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.92% (

-1.38)

10.08% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.8% (

-3.28)

33.2% (

3.28)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.55% (

1.68)

45.45% (

-1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.71% (

1.29)

81.29% (

-1.29)

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 71.29%

Fakel 11.23%

Draw 17.46%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Fakel
2-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.72) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.78) 4-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.4) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.54) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.28) Other @ 3.47% Total : 71.29%	1-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.76) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.29) Other @ 0.85% Total : 17.46%	0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.94% Total : 11.23%