Scottish Championship | Gameweek 18

Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
2 - 2
Dunfermline

McGeady (41'), Musonda (63')
Ahui (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Jakubiak (3', 9')
Wighton (62'), Edwards (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Raith Rovers 4-4 Ayr
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Arbroath 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
40.31% ( -0.59)	25.94% ( -0.04)	33.75% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 54.04% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74% (

0.29)

50.25% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

0.26)

72.21% (

-0.26)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.4% (

-0.18)

24.59% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.91% (

-0.25)

59.09% (

0.25)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66% (

0.54)

28.34% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.93% (

0.68)

64.07% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 40.31%

Dunfermline Athletic 33.75%

Draw 25.94%

Ayr United	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.31%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.75%