Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals

Mar 9, 2024 at 12.15pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
3 - 1
Kilmarnock

McGrath (11'), Shinnie (33'), Findlay (66' og.)
MacKenzie (46'), McGrath (70'), Shinnie (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Armstrong (41')
Armstrong (62'), Wright (62')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: St Mirren 2-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Aberdeen 0-2 Kilmarnock

Aberdeen and Kilmarnock's contrasting form leading into this game makes it hard to see any outcome other than Kilmarnock extending Aberdeen's poor form with a victory in this one. Warnock's side have struggled for goals in their past few games, and we expect Kilmarnock to keep a clean sheet in this one as they progress through to the semi-final of the Scottish Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Kilmarnock
49.56% ( 0.01)	24.3% ( -0.01)	26.14% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.12% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.12% (

0.03)

46.88% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.87% (

0.02)

69.14% (

-0.02)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04% (

0.02)

18.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.5% (

0.02)

50.5% (

-0.02)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02% (

0.02)

31.98% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.57% (

0.02)

68.44% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 49.56%

Kilmarnock 26.14%

Draw 24.3%

Aberdeen	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 49.56%	1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.3%	0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.67% Total : 26.14%